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2024-12-14 09:01:06
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Generally speaking, I will pay attention to one point today. Let's see if we can stand at 3489.78 points at the close. If we stand up, it will be dangerous, and the daily line will have a double deviation structure! If you can't stand up, then the small high point suppression still exists here, and the market will continue to fluctuate and adjust the structure with great probability! Just remember one thing, don't chase after short-term gains!Anyway, the news is definitely positive, but they are all long-term positive, and most of them have long been expected. Now we can only say that they are in line with expectations. The above still wants to stimulate the spontaneous trading of the market through expectations, but yesterday, there was no mysterious capital entering the market, and A shares may not be able to break the Black Thursday spell.Therefore, what is lacking at the moment is substantial and beneficial, such as lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. Technically, my judgment remains unchanged, and the nature of the small high point of 3494 points has not changed. Unless it can be broken through in volume, it will need to be adjusted at that time. If it is short-term, continue to wait and see, and don't blindly chase after it.


Anyway, the news is definitely positive, but they are all long-term positive, and most of them have long been expected. Now we can only say that they are in line with expectations. The above still wants to stimulate the spontaneous trading of the market through expectations, but yesterday, there was no mysterious capital entering the market, and A shares may not be able to break the Black Thursday spell.Recently, domestic-funded institutions have made a large net outflow continuously, and the entry of mysterious funds is not continuous. Therefore, Lao Liu judged that once the incremental funds are insufficient to follow the trend, the market is likely to fluctuate and consolidate, so don't chase after it in the short term, especially in terms of consumption!3. Implement special actions to boost domestic demand. I won't say more. The expectation has already landed, but it depends on implementation. Before, the market had expected to issue special treasury bonds to residents to subsidize consumption. Now consumer stocks are accelerating in the short term, so be careful to cash in the risks.


At present, the scope of investment includes national debt and index funds. In fact, I think the biggest advantage is that under the background of the proliferation of index funds, you can focus on tracking the varieties selected above. In order to encourage individual pensions to enter the market, the products selected are generally not too bad.2, the issuance of ultra long-term construction bonds, increase the use of local special bonds. This has always been a good hand at pulling GDP, and it is good for infrastructure and new quality productivity.

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